Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky 11/6/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida Atlantic winning 58% of simulations, and Western Kentucky 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida Atlantic commits fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 73% when they take care of the ball. Western Kentucky wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jeff Van Camp is averaging 287 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Bobby Rainey is averaging 137 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WKY +2.5

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